Spread to moneyline converter
Should you bet the Bills -3 or the Bills moneyline? Enter the spread and both prices. You'll see the team's fair chance to win the game, the fair moneyline for that spread, and which bet costs you less.
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| Win | Push | Lose | Per $100 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ||||
| Moneyline |
How it works
A spread is a statement about the whole range of scores, and a moneyline only asks who wins. For each spread, the calculator looks at real games with a similar closing line and counts how often that team won outright. That gives a fair moneyline: an NFL 3-point favorite wins about 59% of the time, which is about -144 with no margin.
Books set the two prices separately, and they don't always agree. When the moneyline is priced better than the spread implies, it's the cheaper way to bet the same team, and the other way around.
Based on how often real games with a similar closing line ended on each exact score: 4,440 NFL games (2010 on, closing lines from nflverse) and 8,147 college games (2016 on). Every price here leaves out the book's margin, so a fair price is the break-even point, not a promise. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+.